Modeling the groundwater response to megacity expansion demand and climate change. Case study: the Cuautitlán–Pachuca aquifer, in the Northeast of Mexico City

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AudienciaPúblico en generales_ES
CoberturaMéxicoes_ES
Fecha de ingreso2026-09-15T00:31:07Z
Fecha de publicación2017-07-27
ResumenAquifers are being threatened by overuse, and scenario predictions are convenient to design appropriate planning programs to water management. Numerical modeling is a helpful tool in these analyses, but it is hard to manage with limited data available, which is frequent in developing countries. The aim of the paper is to show that there are other simple and reliable options. The primary objective of this research is to propose and validate a simplified-to-available-data approach, useful for aquifer modeling, followed by scenarios' simulation, based on realistic future events. The Mexican overexploited aquifer Cuautitlan-Pachuca case study assess the responses of the water level under different outflows and infiltration scenarios from 2007 (base year) to 2031. Modflow software allowed the model calibration with 2007 data, and further spatial and temporal evolution of the piezometric level. The aquifer is the main water supplier for economic activities, and population in the northern region of Mexico City and outflows are continuously increasing, despite its severe overexploitation and even stronger negative impacts in the decline water levels are predicted in this study. A previous study reported -194.97 hm(3)/year deficit in 2010, and this paper predicts the strongest effect due to over-pumping caused by the population growth that would intensify the deficiency up to -236.29 hm(3)/year. The results have revealed to decision makers the urgency to prevent the aquifer's irreversible impairment, with a proper operation and management planning. This paper provides a contribution for simplifying conceptual models allowing to predict aquifers' outcome scenarios with limited data.es_ES
Doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6808-1es_ES
URIhttps://riuat.uat.edu.mx/handle/123456789/2823
Idiomaenes_ES
EditorialSpringer Science+Business Mediaes_ES
RelaciónEnvironmental Earth Scienceses_ES
URL relacionadohttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6808-1es_ES
DerechosAcceso restringido / Suscripción (Metadatos de producción científica)es_ES
Licenciahttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16eces_ES
FuenteEnvironmental Earth Sciences
Palabra claveMODFLOWes_ES
Palabra claveAquiferes_ES
Palabra claveMegacityes_ES
Palabra claveEnvironmental sciencees_ES
Palabra clavePopulationes_ES
Palabra claveOverexploitationes_ES
Palabra claveWater resource managementes_ES
Palabra claveHydrology (agriculture)es_ES
Palabra claveAquifer propertieses_ES
Palabra claveGroundwateres_ES
Palabra claveClimate changees_ES
Palabra claveGroundwater rechargees_ES
ClasificaciónGroundwater and Isotope Geochemistryes_ES
TítuloModeling the groundwater response to megacity expansion demand and climate change. Case study: the Cuautitlán–Pachuca aquifer, in the Northeast of Mexico Cityes_ES
TipoArtículoes_ES
ArbitradoHa sido Arbitradoes_ES
AutorGalindo-Castillo, Eric
AutorCelestino, Ana Elizabeth Marín
AutorSánchez, Otazo
AutorGalindo-Castillo, Erices_ES
AutorGordillo-Martínez, Alberto José
AutorCelestino, Ana Elizabeth Marínes_ES
AutorSánchez, Otazoes_ES
AutorGonzález-Ramírez, César Abelardo
AutorGordillo-Martínez, Alberto Josées_ES
AutorGonzález-Ramírez, César Abelardoes_ES
AutorCabrera-Cruz, René Bernardo Elías
AutorCabrera-Cruz, René Bernardo Elíases_ES
InstituciónUniversidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas
InstituciónUniversidad Autónoma de Tamaulipases_ES
Número15es_ES
URL relacionadahttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-017-6808-1
Tipo de artículoIndexado
Tipo de artículoIndexadoes_ES
Volumen76es_ES

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