One-year incidence, predictors, and accuracy of prediction of suicidal thoughts and behaviors from the first to second year of university

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AudienciaPúblico en generales_ES
CoberturaMéxicoes_ES
Fecha de ingreso2026-10-05T16:33:41Z
Fecha de publicación2022-01-01
ResumenBackground Research is scarce on the prospective predictors of first onset suicidal thoughts and behaviors (STB) and the accuracy of these predictors in university students, particularly in low-and-middle income countries. Therefore, we assessed the 1-year incidence of STB among first-year students, a broad range of prospective predictors of STB incidence, and evaluated the prediction accuracy of a baseline multivariate risk prediction model to identify students at highest risk for STB onset over the subsequent 12 months. Methods Students (n = 3238) from 13 universities in Mexico completed an online survey developed for the World Mental Health International College Student Surveys in their first year and again 12 months after. We ran generalized linear models and receiver operator curves. Results The 1-year incidence of suicidal ideation, plan and attempt was 8.53\%, 3.75\%, and 1.16\%, respectively. Predictors in final models were female sex (ideation only), minority sexual orientation (ideation only), depression, eating disorders, ADHD (ideation and plan), ongoing arguments or breakup with a romantic partner (ideation only), emotional abuse (ideation only), parental death (ideation, plan), not Catholic/Christian (ideation, plan), not having someone to rely on, psychotic experiences (plan only), and insufficient sleep (attempt only). Prediction accuracy for ideation, plan and attempt was area under the curve = 0.76, 0.81 and 0.78, respectively. Targeting the top 10\% of students at highest risk could reduce STB in the subsequent year up to 36\%. Conclusions By assessing these risk/protective factors in incoming students we identified students at greatest risk for developing STB to whom suicide prevention strategies could be targeted.es_ES
Doihttps://doi.org/10.1002/da.23278es_ES
URIhttps://riuat.uat.edu.mx/handle/123456789/5489
Idiomaenes_ES
EditorialWILEYes_ES
RelaciónDepression and Anxietyes_ES
URL relacionadohttps://doi.org/10.1002/da.23278es_ES
DerechosAcceso abierto (Metadatos de producción científica)es_ES
Licenciahttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2es_ES
FuenteDepression and Anxiety
Palabra clavelongitudinales_ES
Palabra clavemental healthes_ES
Palabra claveMexicoes_ES
Palabra clavestudentses_ES
Palabra clavesuicidees_ES
TítuloOne-year incidence, predictors, and accuracy of prediction of suicidal thoughts and behaviors from the first to second year of universityes_ES
TipoArtículoes_ES
ArbitradoHa sido Arbitradoes_ES
AutorBenjet, Corina
AutorBorges, Guilherme
AutorMiah, Sumaiya
AutorAlbor, Yesica
AutorGutierrez-Garcia, Raul A.
AutorZavala Berbena, Alicia
AutorGuzman, Rebeca
AutorVargas-Contreras, Eunice
AutorHermosillo de la Torre, Alicia Edith
AutorHernandez Uribe, Praxedis Cristina
AutorQuevedo, Guillermo
AutorCovarrubias Diaz, Anabell
AutorMartinez Ruiz, Sinead
AutorPatricia Valdes-Garcia, Karla
AutorMartinez Jerez, Ana Maria
AutorMortier, Philippe
AutorBenjet, Corinaes_ES
AutorBorges, Guilhermees_ES
AutorMiah, Sumaiyaes_ES
AutorAlbor, Yesicaes_ES
AutorGutierrez-Garcia, Raul A.es_ES
AutorZavala Berbena, Aliciaes_ES
AutorGuzman, Rebecaes_ES
AutorVargas-Contreras, Eunicees_ES
AutorHermosillo de la Torre, Alicia Edithes_ES
AutorHernandez Uribe, Praxedis Cristinaes_ES
AutorQuevedo, Guillermoes_ES
AutorCovarrubias Diaz, Anabelles_ES
AutorMartinez Ruiz, Sineades_ES
AutorPatricia Valdes-Garcia, Karlaes_ES
AutorMartinez Jerez, Ana Mariaes_ES
AutorMortier, Philippees_ES
InstituciónUniversidad Autónoma de Tamaulipas
InstituciónUniversidad Autónoma de Tamaulipases_ES
Número12es_ES
Rango de páginas727-740es_ES
URL relacionadahttps://doi.org/10.1002/da.23278
Tipo de artículoIndexado
Tipo de artículoIndexadoes_ES
Volumen39es_ES

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